The Texas miracle

Unvaccinated people 20 times more likely to die from COVID-19, Texas data shows. Come on now... .Seriously?!?!?

Check out this article:

Someone texted this article to me and asked me what I thought.

My immediate reaction is that if you are vaccinated, you’d want to move to Texas. And if you are unvaccinated, I suggest you move to another state where you will be safer!

OK, just kidding.

The study says this:

From January 15, 2021 to October 1, 2021, unvaccinated people were 40 times more likely to experience COVID-19-associated death than fully vaccinated people.

Wow. A 40X death benefit. That’s impressive. I read the Pfizer Phase 3 6 month study and it showed just a 2X death benefit. But the numbers were small there.

The study also says this:

According to the state's study, between Jan. 15 and Oct. 1, "unvaccinated people were 45 times more likely to have an infection with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people."

OK, if the Texas study is right, then how do we explain the Harvard study Figure 1? The line should slope the other way since cases would be way down the more fully vaccinated you are.

And how do we explain the UCSF study which showed the same viral loads for vaccinated and unvaccinated which means the vaccine didn’t work at all?

Here’s what one of my team members wrote (I think she missed seeing the full report):

“If you can get the data, I can try to make a proper interpretation. This one they present, is clearly garbage.”

Another wrote:

My best friend in Dallas is a firefighter and EMT who drives ambulances. He told me before I flew to San Juan that almost everyone they drove was vaccinated.

Whoops! That anecdote has to be pretty embarrassing for their study! Reality seems to match the Harvard study.

Generally, the techniques they use to game these studies are:

  1. Definitions of "vaccinated" restricted

  2. Most cases during period of legacy variants

  3. No accounting for naturally immune

  4. No accounting for early treatment

  5. Since unvaxxed are tested in the hospital with all kinds of fatal conditions and the vaxxed are not, many dying of other conditions are swept into the unvaxxed C19 group without clinical C19

All designed to frighten Texas into vaccinating.

Here’s the full study referred to in the article.

I welcome your thoughts in the comments!